Sunday, August 31, 2008
CPM and Lok Satta invite Chiru for Strategic alliances.
Loksatta has always visioned a better Andhra pradesh and CPM has always been a Pro-Poor party .
It is too early to say it will happen especially with the current media ( call it "media maphia") where most of the big media barons( including press and telivision) have tied up with political parties as their flag bearers - they can easily play spoilsport by comments like " CPM wooing Chiru" , "Lok Satta Behind Chiru" , "Chiru behind Lok Sattta " to ensure that the matters become more of sensitve and turn out to be more of self pride there by spoiling things.
But overall in what we have gathered from people the opinion is that it will make the effort to "change the present system " even stronger and it is a win-win situation for Chiru , Loksatta and CPM if they share a common platfrom and prioritise people needs as primary objective.
Wednesday, August 27, 2008
prajarajya prabhanjam is ON- you accept it or not.
Mantra of AP Politics - What is this "Social Justice" is all about?
What is this all about?
To say in political temrs it is BC Votes.
Why everybody utterring this?
This needs some explanation.
Total AP has around 9 crore population.
The break up of this as per sections (roughtly):
OC 27%, BC 50% and SC and ST (23%)
The SC and ST always get their share of political importance as they have reservation in Parliament and Assembly. While BCs has reservations in education and govt but they don't have in Parliament and Assembly.
So though they are the strong majority (half way) they are getting only 10 to 15% of seats in most of the parties.
Chiranjeevi coming into the pictue, the sole possilbe BC CM in state, all the parties are kind of worried about their BC votes. A possible shift on the section basis (this is not caste as there are 100 castes in BC and these section are half of AP - really cant call it is one section also).
So everybody started wooing them say CBN declared 100 (33%) seats for them and YSR said (plus one - 101).
Obviously you never know what they are thinking actually because they are in to all possible jobs /bussiness / agriculture etc and everybody has their own priorities.
One thing is certain that all eyes are on BCs.
Is Chiru agenda leaked 1 year ago?
Just if you have followed the developments of AP Politics recently we witnessed lot of parties coming up. My focus is mainly on JP's Loksatta and Mana Party of Gnaneswar. Chiru agenda sounds like essense of these two. Development + Reforms + Social Justice.
It may be quite possible the big parties in state might have leaked the Chiru agenda and started campaining about them early using some their followers. Who is pumping whom I have no clue, of course you can guess. If this is the case they want to hizag the Chiru's USPs and make him kind of nothing new.
But similarly Chiru might have insriped from the current problems and kept them in their agenda. Which will include the TRS and NTPP telangana stand was also seems to have accomodated by Chiru.
Anyway truth can't be hidden to much time in politics. It might come out soon.
Tuesday, August 26, 2008
Is Chiru inspired by Jaya Prakash Narayana?
Most of the items in agenda are sounds inline with JP barring the "Samajika Nyayam". All the other things education, health, argiculture, critical view of subsidies (he didn't mention any subsidies like free power, free rice or free gas), anti corruption, political reforms etc looks like that of JP.
Interestingly the name of the party is "Praja Rajyam" transilation of "Lok Satta".
Is the toughest phase of Chiru's has started?
Nobody can be exicited for too long as I mentioned in my previous article, now everything boils down to organizational efforts not by excitement. How he is able to pump his fans and cadre, how he organizes his campain, what is he going to talk about again and again matters now.
After Tsunami in AP politics now silence everywhere, once the silence break out, the oppositon will start their playing their cards. They will demean, discourage him and his followers, can Chiru cope up with thar pressure, can he keep his cool and right things time will only tell.
I want to quote a famous slogan by Mahatma MK Gandhi,
First they will laugh at you, then they will critisize you, they they will fight with you then you win.
Live updates Chiru party meeting - Avilala Cheruvu on Aug 26th
4:00
It started Folks.... Popular Singer Mano and News Reader pragati have started the cultural programmes. There will be a special screening on chiranjeevi's life for half an hour now.Weather too is rocking.
2:40 pm :
Chiru address at 5.00 PMChiranjeevi will be coming to the venue and straight board on to the dais at 5.00 P.M. After making half an hour speech, he will be launching his political party at 5.30.
2:00 pm :
Srikanth, VV Vinayak, Dr. KL Narayana and Edidha Sriram are currently in Tirupati to take part in the megastar's public meeting.
1:45 pm :
Chiru about migrations into partyReferring to the migrations into his political party, Chiru said: "After this public meeting, there is going to be an exodus into our party. I consider all the political leaders who are going to join us as very important to my mission for people. I am ready to wage my war against corruption with old weapons (migrating people). I don't think they are rusty weapons. I consider them still sharp. I will consider such sharp weapons (leaders),"
1:45 pm :
Wait, listen about corruption: Chiru"I will talk about corruption before the lakhs and lakhs of people. You have to wait for sometime to hear from me directly," Chiranjeevi told the media. "As I get ready to address my maiden public meeting, I feel elated. A special feeling grips me. It is not pressure, but a great opportunity before me. It is a deep emotion. I am not feeling sad for leaving the film industry, but I am happy that a more precious mission is before me for the people. People at present are not happy in the state. I can clearly see that. I feel their strong inside urge for happiness. My political party is the result of their deep felt feelings. I am answerable to their feelings," he said.
Chiru further said: "I don't think I am doing politics even now also. I feel this as a big opportunity to render effective social service. This political party is just a platform, it is like an adharam. Even during 2004 elections, my name cropped up among the public, who desired me to come into politics. Like that, thrice I felt the call. Now, I thought I could delay, but respond to the public at this right time. A feeling as to what should I give to people, and how I have to fulfill their dreams for betterment was continuously felt in my mind," he maintained.
"Andhra Pradesh people will definitely and unanimously give power to those towards whom they would tilt. I don't think there will a hung. Nobody needs to live in poverty. All should live in peace and happiness. The day will come when our Andhra Pradesh will turn into Santhoshandra Pradesh, Chiru Navvula Andhra Pradesh and Subhiksha Andhra Pradesh," Chiru said.
Rajni doing, why can't me: ChiruActor turned politician Chiranjeevi said that he still holds the stamina as an actor for the next five years, but he decided to come into politics for doing effective social service. "When my friend superstar Rajnikanth is still able to retain his stamina and doing films, why can't I? But, something more awaits me. People are calling me to be in their service."
1:20 pm Chiranjeevi in TSR guest house:
Chiranjeevi is currently accommodated at TSR guest house, near the political meeting venue, Tirupati. Precautions are taken to see that the traffic en route is not blocked when the megastar would reach the stage at Avilala Cheruvu. He will be here till the evening and come out of the guest house around 3:30 pm to attend the public meeting where he will be addressing more than 10 lac people.
Tagore screening on LCDThe organizers erected a huge LCD screen at the stage. They are currently screening Chiranjeevi's social-message blockbuster Tagore, to keep the crowd in good humor. The same screen will play a show reel of Chiranjeevi’s life story before the start of the public meeting at 4 pm.
1:05 pm:
Megastar predicts clean sweepMegastar Chiranjeevi today said that his political ideals have come closer to the aspirations of the people. "This prompted me to launch our political party." The actor turned political leader spoke to a section of the media, after worshipping at the temple of Lord Venkateswara. He predicted that the migrations into his party would increase by leaps and bounds. He further predicted that he didn't see any hung like situation, but a clean sweep by his party, reports said.
Monday, August 25, 2008
Thanks for participating in the poll.
Tagore, Annayya played a role of figtting agaist corruption, inspired lot of fans as well as news channels to open a Anti Corruption wing in AP as we all know. Indra, Chiru attempt to bring down the faction politics in Rayalaseema also has a place in people's heart. Rudraveena Chiru as a social reformer who puts social equality, liquor free villages and self sufficiency of individuals as priority over art and family was also among people's mind.
A day before the BIG Day-Chiru to Unleash himself tommorow at Tirupati.
120 feet Cranes with cameras
17 Special Trains
2000 buses.Every bus has a team lead to take care of the people.
Four Trains from Hyderabad
Railways have approximately collected Rs. 35,000/- per each general bogie, while Rs. 50,000/- for the sleeper coach; and Rs. 1 lakh for AC coach
Train boarding locations: Visakhapatnam, Anakapalle, Rajahmundry, Kakinada, Vijayawada, Guntur and Ongole
Special blocks for women, old and PHs
Front blocks are reserved for the women, children and the old; and physically handicapped
Frontal organizers of the party like Dr. Mitra, Harirama Jogayya, NV Prasad and Purushotam are personally overseeing the arrangements at Tirupati
Facilities like drinking water and refreshments are provided at each block
Special block is created for the family members and friends of Chiranjeevi at the frontal pace
70 LCD monitors are going to be installed at several blocks at the public meeting to facilitate the crowds to have clear view of the stage
Cultural programs are planned under the supervision of actor Pawan Kalyan
People coming for the public meeting are advised to reach their blocks three to four hours in advance of the meeting commencement
Nearly 3000 police personnel are being deployed for the mega event
Parking zones are created in about 40 acres of area
Hundreds of volunteers of Chiru Rashtra Yuvatha will also be monitoring the event
Chiru is likely to arrive at the venue by a specially arranged helicopter.
Mega Speech expected on 26th August in Tirupati.
What are the speciality and attractions of this speech?
First time only one person is going on the dias and speeking.
First time more that 10 lacs people are attending any speech in AP. (never before).
The vociferrous and boistrous Chiru fans are attending in huge numbers. So don't get surprised with welcome he will be getting, cheers (claps and vistle) for each statement for 3 hours.
Nobody knows the agenda of the meeting barring Chiru speech.
All the Telugu news channels are covering with Helicaptors and with different camara angles. Political analyst are getting ready with both their ears.
Chiru fans are expecting some prises for them if not atleast address them in some way. Chiru fans are at their higest morale and they ready for anything to for Chiru.
Other parties like Cong and TDP despaately wanting for some loose statements or mistakes from him. As they already know that this can't be a failure which they were hoping for. All the political parties want to hizag the agenda from him so they are watching closely.
BCs are expecting something really good for them as first time in 60 years they are going to see a potential CM from their community. SCs are anxious about his stand on the categorzation. Minorities are looking for his perception of their problem. Women are looking for his brother
I am expecting more than 90% of the state eager for his speech for various reasons.
All the eyes are on Tirupati now. Personally as Chiru fan I am not able to wait for the biggest moment. I am excited, are you? Sahre your comments.
Friday, August 22, 2008
Fond memories of chiru on his birthday
Chiru too has some special moments to ponder. Once he has shared this in his birthday celebrations:
A 15 year old pregnant lady was traveling along with his 20 year old husband in a horse cart from Mogaltur to Narsapuram. An RTC bus hit that horse cart and she has fallen down. The first thing she did was to verify if the baby inside her womb is hurt. That lady was Anjani Devi and that baby in her womb was Chiranjeevi. On this occasion, Chiranjeevi publicly expressed his love and respect towards his parents and requested his fans to emulate him.
Thursday, August 21, 2008
Start of Chiru wave in Nellore?
Chiru will spend his Birthday with his mother.
Supreme Court Clears Chiru's public meeting
Monday, August 18, 2008
Andhra Politics A milestone day
AP Politics - Chiru Challenges
The lack of development for more than 50 years in comparision with other parts of AP cause Telangana people to believe they are look down under by the politicians. Telangana has its own struggle for independance from Nizams rule has impact on them to identify themselves separate from the rest of AP. AP is formed by Sri Potti SriRamlu tyagam, while Telangana got inspired by Sayadha poratam. The lack of education, espcially lack adoption of modern cultivation methods , water resorces (partly because of geographically it was diffcult to build on platue and partly lack of initatives from Govt), culturally less stratagic (long term) caused locals to sell most of their lands to Andhra people and becomde labourers there. Lack of strong regional leaders also caused their issues to take back seat. Losts of Telangan people strongly convinced that they will be cheated by AP rulers causes the Telangana issue to burn, but the Telangana leaders like Mr Chenna Reddy and KCR also should be blamed partially for taking political and personal advantage of this. Though everybody understands that Separate Telanga itself doesn't solve any problem, all the problems has to be solved case by case even after separate state. Somehow, some of the people are emotionally attached to separate state movement. So at least it is unfair for anybody to cheat the Telangana separatist people again. Nobody is dare enough to explain thier stand for Samikhandhra, that sums up the story. So whatever Chiru stand, it should be clear and he should be able to convince/advocte his stand. This separation should be done by center so it is difficult for local parties to achive, they can only help/try to get it.
SC Categorization:
SC has two major castes Mala and Madiga. Malas are majority in coastal andhra (80%) while Madigas are majority in Telangana (70%). Madiga's claim that as Malas are in better position than Madigas they are leveraging the benifits of reservations better than them. So thay want a categorization on population basis say both will that take their own share. But Malas are oppsing this mainly it will cause the SC to disintegrate, actually Malas also not developed as the others think and also it will hurt them as some districts they are more than average population.
Minority Reservation:
This is also became contraversory recently by Supreme Court and High Court judgiments agaist reservations on the basis of Religion. Everybody accepts that Muslims are under devoloped, but nobody has the solution except the reservations, which is against the contitution.
Sunday, August 17, 2008
Chiranjeevi poltical party announcement - Aug 17,2008
Its very good first day at office for Chiru , and the moment his voice announced his entry to politics, was an eruption of happiness in the fans , social activists and supporters of him.
In a very jubiliant mood throught the program , Chiru expressed NTR and APJ kalam are the main sources inspiration for him.
Though polticians were guarded in their response to the announcement, most of them have welcomed it. The veteran in Congress -Undavalli , has also said that he personally likes Chiru the most, as he is one of the very few whom you can look for inspiration - The effort he has put , the number of sufferings he has withstood, the amount of dignity he has shown even in the tough times to finally reach this stage in a convoluted environment like cinema shows his stamina to face difficulties and it wouldn't be so hard for him to gauge politics.
He was also feeling bad that in this political world, it may so happen that he has to talk tough words on somebody like chiru.
BJP leader Dattatreya too welcomed the move and looked forward to see the change.
Political analysts too were surpirsed at the matrity shown by Chiru and agreed that it was a very balanced first effort from him..
The meeting with public as posted by us earlier will be on Aug -26 on the Birthday of the great Mother Theresa at Tiruapati. Massive gathering is expected on the 120 acres of area. And about 10 Lacs is the intial expectation.
He concluded saying " Aug 26 , The great Mother birthday rojuna, Nannu nenu prajala mundu aavishkrinchukuntaa....." .Looking forward to the Big Day.
Sunday, August 10, 2008
Early ecuberance will daunt whom benifit whom?
Most of the ruling party is hoping that Chiru will damage the opposition more than them so they are kind of ready to welcome Chiru. Chiru party has been in the news for more than 6 months now. Everybody want to evaluate the fortune of Chiru party very quickly esp Media, Political Paties, Chiru Fans and other movie and politics observers. If you observe the AP Politics genarally 4 to 5% votes shift against ruling party becuse of anti incumbency. Say NTR won 225 seats in 1999 and CBN won 165 in 2004 a shift of 4% votes, still not enough. In 2004 a dip of 5% more resulted big Cong victory gave Cong 230 seats (incuding partners). Assume same thing now may be slightly less may be they will lose same percentage. Then it would survive with say 160 odd. That would be a simple case. Very few Govt in India (except Tamil Nadu) having won 2/3rd majority lost its avantage. Also my guess people of AP aren't feeling too bad about current Govt may be similar to 1999 if you add up the loss due to partners like TRS and Left. But Cong constantly is working keeping the people perception alive rather than settling down the nerves of people. Full term they are critising the oppsition and their ruling, not missing a single chance, thanks to media. CBN almost ignored the opposition while his term, I am finding difficult to remember what he used to say about YSR before 2004. It is kind of dual role for Cong as ruling party and as oppsition for 1999-2004. Time will tell how far it is a smart approach.
A factor in politics is that politicians manage is making their supporters to hate their opponets. That is TDP supporters hates Congress and same is other way. In most of the cases it became like hatred on others is more than likeing of yours. That is Anti Congress, Anti TDP is more that TDP supporters and Congress supporters. These are stretegic voters like they will vote against Cong or TDP to the winning candidate whoever it is. Anybody who can starts a new force in politics with decent point can get the 10% to 15% votes easily as they are both Anti Cong and TDP. But it will not effect the results.
So whenever a third force come in India it effects in following ways. Assuming the 3 rd force is significant, If one party is strong then the oppostion voters will choose the 3rd force in panic of defeating the stronger one, so it will split the oppostion and strong party will be even more stronger. If two parties are equally strong, then anti voters from both the parties will make the 3rd force strong. More importantly whoever comes 3rd will be distant 3rd. They my exit from that place. That can be 3rd force also.
What is happenning with Chiru entry is vote banks are moving esp in Andhra region. This Chiru's own place, traditionally TDP region and currently Congress region. So the balance is almost same for TDP and Cong. The greater Rayalaseema (including Nellore and Ongole) still with rulers as anti TDP voters are sticking Cong and TDP may be weakening here so it makes Cong even more stronger. While in Telangana (excluding Greater Hyd) have maximum anti incumbency for Govt (due to dissidents from its own party, Telangana factor etc) Maha Kutami showing to be stronger (if it materializes) may cause Cong voters to tilt to Chiru more causing Maha Kutami to be even more stronger. The current equation looking like Kosta - Chiru, Greater Rayalaseema - Cong and Telangana - Maha Kutami and Greater Hyd is of couse a mixed bag of all these and MIM.
After Chiru starts campaining things will start to change, public response, his speachs, the agenda and him promises will dig into the strong holds of other parties then we have to see how drama unfolds. Chiru has to do lot of ground work and meet all the state by the time of elections, but the other parties I think lacs the stuff to do. So they will have to watch Chiru and plan the stratagy accordingly. This may leave them clueless for some period of time. The early exuberance of election may daunt the people who are not ready for activity. Political parties have to be on their toes from now on. It will definitely test their character, will power, money power and musile power.
The stage set for grand Poitical entrance- Chiru Tsunami alert for poliical parties forecast next week
It will be an emotional moment for all of his die hard fans and film fratenrity as he is bidding farewell to movies and is going to formally announce the same.
The announcement of party will be in Tiruapati.
Chiru is said to be contesting from Narsapur , Tiruapti.
The poltical announcement is going to be followed by a 3 month state tour, to perceive the problems of the poor more at the ground level.
The names being considered are "Jai Chiranjeeva" , Praja Bandhu, mana desam , telugu velugu etc.,
The party symbol is also under tight lips - probables are eye, rising sun, train.
The intial reports suggest chiru is heading for 150 seats in AP , with sweep expected in Guntur, Vizag, Sri kakulam , West Godavari. Tight fight followed by victory is expected in Chittor , Nellore ( It is also expressd that Costa districts are headed for a sweep).
More details follow soon.